Seeing what's next: using the theories of innovation to predict industry change

Introduction

How to use theory to analyze

1. Signals of change: where are the opportunities?

2. Competitive battles: how to size up competitors

3. Strategic choices: identifying which choices matter

4. How nonmarket factors affect innovation

Illustrations of theory-based analysis

5. Disruptive diplomas: the future of education

6. Disruption spreads its wings: the future of aviation

7. Whither Moore's law? the future of semiconductors

8. Healing the 800-pound gorilla: the future of health care

9. Innovation overseas: using theory to assess corporate and country strategies

10. Breaking the wire: the future of telecommunications

Conclusion: What's next.